Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.238465 0.275500 0.317664 0.369489 0.431836 0.504881 0.597602
2025-09-14 0.177201 0.223347 0.281798 0.362388 0.472398 0.619972 0.837531
2025-09-21 0.145592 0.195268 0.263253 0.365432 0.519324 0.749675 1.135193
2025-09-28 0.123706 0.173969 0.246997 0.364529 0.556334 0.871213 1.460183
2025-10-05 0.110641 0.162069 0.240775 0.375384 0.611692 1.034649 1.915898
2025-10-12 0.099934 0.151544 0.234135 0.383100 0.662242 1.203091 2.451510
2025-10-19 0.091122 0.142442 0.227873 0.389502 0.711041 1.382179 3.093196
2025-10-26 0.084671 0.136153 0.225082 0.401166 0.772388 1.606669 3.961858
2025-11-02 0.078063 0.128615 0.218787 0.404615 0.817243 1.809377 4.892955
2025-11-09 0.072003 0.121229 0.211597 0.404718 0.854547 2.007113 5.939669
2025-11-16 0.066357 0.113893 0.203429 0.401152 0.882336 2.190638 7.073641
2025-11-23 0.061108 0.106693 0.194545 0.394382 0.900596 2.355133 8.270858
2025-11-30 0.058023 0.103363 0.193146 0.404730 0.967350 2.698067 10.550639
2025-12-07 0.053591 0.096950 0.184625 0.397007 0.983800 2.890643 12.364772
2025-12-14 0.050592 0.093074 0.180964 0.400446 1.033411 3.222965 15.327604
2025-12-21 0.047553 0.088800 0.175895 0.399447 1.069885 3.527954 18.586775
2025-12-28 0.045759 0.086915 0.175875 0.411571 1.151570 4.059756 24.291005
2026-01-04 0.043866 0.084621 0.174625 0.420193 1.225082 4.606029 31.306081
2026-01-11 0.042031 0.082269 0.172945 0.427350 1.296486 5.194204 40.239445
2026-01-18 0.040674 0.080832 0.173267 0.440396 1.394514 5.991660 53.943760
2026-01-25 0.038910 0.078315 0.170648 0.444256 1.459566 6.669095 68.925138
2026-02-01 0.037093 0.075515 0.167006 0.444370 1.510425 7.312428 86.496380
2026-02-08 0.035221 0.072432 0.162309 0.440381 1.543543 7.881005 106.054859